Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.642899 0.836948 1.056788 1.320992 1.626641 1.966044 2.368313
2025-02-23 0.372013 0.606540 0.909803 1.315269 1.828228 2.441675 3.216676
2025-03-02 0.202377 0.430171 0.770360 1.274840 1.965819 2.844354 4.010834
2025-03-09 0.127390 0.352170 0.734855 1.352482 2.250805 3.444001 5.082980
2025-03-16 0.068962 0.266902 0.659270 1.351186 2.418400 3.894850 5.985804
2025-03-23 0.044163 0.232613 0.656046 1.453893 2.736477 4.560529 7.196273
2025-03-30 0.025564 0.196213 0.635818 1.520947 3.001071 5.160407 8.337942
2025-04-06 0.012599 0.159013 0.599875 1.551138 3.205401 5.678840 9.381738
2025-04-13 0.004092 0.117038 0.534761 1.513479 3.292430 6.024797 10.191466
2025-04-20 0.001125 0.092257 0.500788 1.527059 3.459904 6.491586 11.180450
2025-04-27 0.000145 0.072644 0.471035 1.542052 3.626914 6.959863 12.180110
2025-05-04 NaN 0.050444 0.417744 1.494850 3.677796 7.247386 12.921391
2025-05-11 NaN 0.032711 0.365486 1.440812 3.714850 7.520620 13.660647
2025-05-18 NaN 0.023246 0.339090 1.442998 3.854943 7.962107 14.661335
2025-05-25 NaN 0.014167 0.300325 1.404108 3.911786 8.269251 15.466867
2025-06-01 NaN 0.012286 0.306927 1.489176 4.215851 8.990292 16.913988
2025-06-08 NaN 0.007942 0.285033 1.488939 4.348490 9.430047 17.939858
2025-06-15 NaN 0.007469 0.299832 1.599156 4.710625 10.262238 19.582058
2025-06-22 NaN 0.006094 0.301971 1.670969 4.996520 10.971990 21.046113
2025-06-29 NaN 0.004221 0.292031 1.703309 5.201343 11.548613 22.312738
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001977 0.261773 1.663264 5.250033 11.858689 23.168693
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001072 0.248832 1.677784 5.414986 12.371336 24.348166
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000519 0.237149 1.693784 5.582715 12.891007 25.544430